Friday, 10 January 2020

A Christmas (American) Political Miracle


by Laura Lai/ Comment

On the 25th of November 2019 I posted a comment type of entry on this Writing Blog with some ‘Reflections on the USMCA Regional Free Trade Agreement’s Deadlock’ (to read the entire blog article click here).
            In short, I was arguing that regional free trade agreements date back to the 1920s (a free trade agreement between Australia and New Zealand). Some other such agreements followed on each continent: in South America (MERCOSUR) and North America (NAFTA), in Europe (EU), in Asia (ASEAN) and in Africa (AFCFTA). They are all alike and in the same time they are all different from the EU. They differ from the latter in some regards, such as the degree of institutionalization and the diminished national sovereignty because the EU passed from an economical project to a political project of becoming some sort of a super state, whatever its theoretical name.

The point I was making was that the North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which came into effect in January 1994 is outdated and its shortcomings are evident particularly in areas such as biotechnology and intellectual property protection. It is no surprise since this agreement is more than a quarter of a century old. Therefore, it required to be updated and improved with elements pertaining to the evolution of the humankind in the last quarter of a century. For example, the updated North America Free Trade Agreement (USMCA) will require that a car to be manufactured on the North American continent to an extend of 75 percent and by workers paid at least $16 an hour, in order for the car to be commercialized on the North American market free of commercial duties.
            Trump Administration’s efforts to improve this deal and to work on a trade agreement with China made perfectly sense for a presidential candidate, who won the elections with the motto ‘Make America Great Again’ and almost half of America’s trade depend on three countries: Canada, Mexico and China. But President Trump held talks with the Japanese, too. And stroke a trade deal with them that is beneficial for the American agricultural products.
            Mexico was the first country to have ratified the USMCA and Canada followed. But in the United States despite arguments coming from states (ex. Indiana, Minnesota, Colorado, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Alaska, etc.) and despite 12 million jobs depending on the USMCA deal, the Democrats were putting more energy, time and public funds in the impeachment procedure.
            I was arguing that it is the Democrats’ free choice to rank their political priorities and that it is according to their political will to rank first the impeachment and then the ratification of the USMCA. Just that according to public opinions polls, Americans were less and less interested in impeachment and the Americans regardless of their leftist or rightist political preferences gave a mandate to both Democrats and Republicans to work first in their interest.

The Republicans hoped for a ratification before the Thanksgiving one week recess time, but that was not possible. And chances to have the USMCA ratified by Christmas were even less probable. On December 2nd, 2019 – eight legislative days to go to the Congress Christmas recess – the Washington Examiner hosted the opinion of (Rep) Vicky Hartzler:

It is unfortunate that Speaker Nancy Pelosi has led us to believe in the last weeks that the USMCA would be brought to the House for a vote, adding that House Democrats were on a “path to yes” and that action on the USMCA was “imminent.” […] This agreement will bring 176,000 new jobs to the U.S. and will spur over $60 billion in new economic activity. Additionally, it opens access to critical markets, such as the Canadian dairy market, for U.S. producers. […] It is my hope that Congress will work together with Trump to make sure this deal is passed. I look forward to working expeditiously to secure this new deal for Missouri and all of the country.

Speaker Pelosi, let’s get this done. No more excuses. (to read the whole article, click here)

       Furthermore, on the 11th of December 2019, Donald Trump’s trade advisor, Peter Navarro, had a TV intervention on Fox Business underlining the benefits of the USMCA particularly for the North American car industry’s struggle against the ‘unfair trade practices’ of the Asians and of the Europeans, framing all his point of view in the campaign motto of Donald Trump and his commitment to keep the promises made to the electorate (click here). But still no sign of the USMCA ratification.

Who said that miracles have no place in politics was terribly wrong. And those who do not believe in miracles at all may reconsider their position. Just before Christmas holidays, on December 16th, the Washington Times was announcing the Americans that the USMCA Christmas gift is ready to vote. But it was also warning that following negations between the Democrats and the Republicans – as it is in a democracy – may be the ‘occasional ugly sweater that you really didn’t want for Christmas’ (to read the article, click here). On December 17th, 2019 – one day before the holidays – the Christmas political miracle happened! The House of Representatives revisited the old NAFTA. The USMCA passed with a bipartisan vote of 385 to 41 votes (to view the CBS News on this, click here).
Who would have believed it? Not many! However, I still can name a few who would: Blake Hurst (farmer), Sydnee Mason (Boots), Matt Moreland (Milkman), Barb Wilson (Bucket Lady), Drew Lock (Macho Man) and the entire farmer crew that made the USMCA song parody to YMCA (that you can listen here):

‘Trump Man,
We have crops on our land.
Trump Man,
Trade would give us a hand.
I said
Nancy,
We know you’re the woman’
who can get this deal
through Congress…’

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